← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Peniel Mlapa · Bochum |
| 48' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 76' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Bochum |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lukas Schmitz · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 78' | 🟨 | Julian Schauerte · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 89' | 🟨 | Selim Gündüz · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟥 | Dominik Wydra · Bochum |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Ihlas Bebou · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 823.00 | 367.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.12 |
| elo | 1505.87 | 1438.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.22 | -35.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| league points | 32.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.56 | 26.31 |
| state index | 0.15 | -1.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |