← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Mon, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gunter Perl, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 45% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Karlsruhe win | 24% | 4.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 804.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.16 |
| elo | 1445.18 | 1439.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.63 | -17.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.73 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| league points | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 0.83 |
| skill v1 | -1.22 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 26.25 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |