← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Jablonski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 58% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 17% | 5.61 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Timo Baumgartl · VfB Stuttgart |
| 40' | 🟨 | Daniel Halfar · Kaiserslautern |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Kaiserslautern |
| 58' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 87' | ⚽ | Berkay Özcan · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 301.00 | 270.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Arena |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.78 |
| elo | 1618.38 | 1497.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.48 | 14.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.86 |
| league points | 47.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.23 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.41 | 25.25 |
| state index | 0.62 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |