← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Bochum win | 27% | 3.56 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Nils Quaschner · Bochum |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jan Gyamerah · Bochum |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lukas Mühl · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Selim Gündüz · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 270.00 | 818.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.20 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.96 |
| elo | 1529.72 | 1493.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.48 | -7.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.50 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 5.82 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.32 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.64 | 26.00 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |