← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Brych, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 59% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.16 |
| Bielefeld win | 18% | 5.43 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Christoph Hemlein · Bielefeld |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Martin Harnik · Hannover |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 50' | 🟨 | Tom Schütz · Bielefeld |
| 57' | ⚽ | Salif Sané · Hannover |
| 70' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sebastian Maier · Hannover |
| 84' | 🟨 | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 89' | 🟨 | Salif Sané · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Schmiedebach · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 452.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | HDI Arena |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 2.21 |
| elo | 1589.66 | 1409.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.74 | 3.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| league points | 44.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.91 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.67 | 27.74 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |