← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Heidenheim win | 30% | 3.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 67' | 🟨 | Arne Feick · Heidenheim |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ihlas Bebou · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 361.00 | 3465.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.77 |
| elo | 1437.56 | 1520.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.91 | -15.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 64.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.50 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.45 | 26.50 |
| state index | -1.28 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -1.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |