← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.08 |
| Greuther Furth win | 24% | 4.01 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 969.00 | 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Flyeralarm Arena |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 1.05 |
| elo | 1499.11 | 1446.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.73 | 15.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.35 |
| skill v1 | -1.53 | -1.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.78 | 26.47 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.32 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |