← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Feb 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Karlsruhe win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Jordi Figueras · Karlsruhe |
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Hedlund · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 27' | 🟨 | Stephan Fürstner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 37' | ⚽ (og) | David Kinsombi · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 54' | 🟨 | Dennis Kempe · Karlsruhe |
| 55' | 🟨 | Kristian Pedersen · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Karlsruhe |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Moritz Stoppelkamp · Karlsruhe |
| 78' | 🟨 | Franck Kom · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Diamantakos · Karlsruhe |
| 84' | 🟨 | Michael Parensen · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 90' | 🟨 | Franck Kom · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟥 | Franck Kom · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 49.00 | 233.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 3.44 |
| elo |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| 1383.97 |
| 1521.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.36 | -6.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| league points | 18.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.75 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |