← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Feb 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Badstubner, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Hannover win | 33% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
| 24' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 38' | 🟨 | Florian Hübner · Hannover |
| 40' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marvin Bakalorz · Hannover |
| 57' | 🟨 | Felix Klaus · Hannover |
| 64' | ⚽ | Martin Harnik · Hannover |
| 78' | ⚽ | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
| 80' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 599.00 | 446.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 3.33 |
| elo | 1492.87 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| 1485.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.28 | 2.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.66 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.92 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.60 |
| league points | 31.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.72 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.90 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |