← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Feb 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 30% | 3.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 85.00 | 354.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 2.12 |
| elo | 1438.21 | 1446.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.86 | -44.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| league points | 28.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| skill v1 | -1.22 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 27.77 |
| state index | -0.04 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |