← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 58% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 16% | 6.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Phil Ofosu-Ayeh · Braunschweig |
| 13' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 29' | 🟨 | Louis Samson · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 44' | 🟨 | Christian Tiffert · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 46' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 56' | 🟨 | Phil Ofosu-Ayeh · Braunschweig |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 76' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hendrick Zuck · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3214.00 | 627.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.05 |
| elo | 1536.22 | 1375.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.66 | 11.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| league points | 39.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 0.81 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | -1.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.57 | 26.57 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |