← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jochen Drees, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Heidenheim win | 29% | 3.32 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Christian Gentner · VfB Stuttgart |
| 42' | ⚽ | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 67' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Heidenheim |
| 69' | 🟨 | Christian Gentner · VfB Stuttgart |
| 71' | ⚽ | Josip Brekalo · VfB Stuttgart |
| 74' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ronny Philp · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3457.00 | 292.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.42 |
| elo | 1530.45 | 1608.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.47 | -11.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 33.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 2.10 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.82 | 25.45 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |