← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Deniz Aytekin, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Dresden win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.17 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Kyoung-Rok Choi · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 33' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Dresden |
| 40' | 🟨 | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 59' | ⚽ | Cenk Şahin · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marco Hartmann · Dresden |
| 88' | 🟨 | Giuliano Modica · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 789.00 | 592.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 3.19 |
| elo | 1430.13 | 1473.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.69 | 14.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.80 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.81 |
| league points | 15.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.55 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 24.86 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |