← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Bielefeld win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Michael Görlitz · Bielefeld |
| 22' | ⚽ | Felix Kroos · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 44' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 55' | 🟨 | Manuel Junglas · Bielefeld |
| 60' | 🟨 | Reinhold Yabo · Bielefeld |
| 63' | ⚽ | Damir Kreilach · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 71' | 🟨 | Felix Kroos · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 76' | 🟨 | Emanuel Pogatetz · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 83' | ⚽ | Sebastian Polter · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 86' | 🟨 | Philipp Hosiner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 226.00 | 226.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -6.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 9.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.37 |
| elo | 1556.91 | 1417.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.59 | -4.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.58 |
| league points | 35.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.95 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -1.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.82 | 27.94 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -1.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |