← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Feb 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.98 |
| Heidenheim win | 25% | 3.85 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 956.00 | 3451.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Flyeralarm Arena |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.11 |
| elo | 1526.21 | 1512.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.25 | -9.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| league points | 31.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 26.16 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |