← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Greuther Furth win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Sercan Sararer · Greuther Furth |
| 78' | 🟨 | Mathis Bolly · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 620.00 | 77.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| venue | Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion |
| corners for avg (last 5) |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.20 |
| elo | 1375.75 | 1438.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.11 | -7.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| league points | 16.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 62.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.29 |
| skill v1 | -1.13 | -1.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 26.10 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.90 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |