← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Marco Fritz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Braunschweig win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Christoffer Nyman · Braunschweig |
| 53' | ⚽ | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Nurnberg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mirko Boland · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 254.00 | 3207.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.74 |
| elo | 1456.80 | 1472.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.96 | -20.32 |
| eye test v1 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 0.52 |
| -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.95 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| league points | 28.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 62.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.84 |
| skill v1 | -1.46 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.77 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |