← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Mon, Feb 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Zwayer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 57% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.98 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 19% | 5.18 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 20' | ⚽ | Julian Green · VfB Stuttgart |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ihlas Bebou · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 34' | 🟨 | Adam Bodzek · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 62' | 🟨 | Alexander Madlung · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 281.00 | 342.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Arena |
| 1.00 |
| 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.69 |
| elo | 1595.96 | 1453.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.79 | -33.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.63 |
| league points | 38.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.47 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.56 | 28.32 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |