← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Mon, Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Cortus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 18% | 5.34 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | ⚽ | Uffe Bech · Hannover |
| 51' | 🟨 | Patrick Ziegler · Kaiserslautern |
| 63' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kenan Karaman · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 426.00 | 243.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| venue | HDI Arena |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.22 |
| elo | 1593.56 | 1476.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.31 | -13.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.83 |
| league points | 35.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.11 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.93 | 24.75 |
| state index | 0.82 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |