← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Jan 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.09 |
| Bielefeld win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Michael Görlitz · Bielefeld |
| 51' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 63' | ⚽ | Jordi Figueras · Karlsruhe |
| 66' | ⚽ | Dennis Kempe · Karlsruhe |
| 67' | 🟨 | Charis Mavrias · Karlsruhe |
| 68' | ⚽ | Tom Schütz · Bielefeld |
| 77' | 🟨 | Manuel Junglas · Bielefeld |
| 82' | ⚽ | Erwin Hoffer · Karlsruhe |
| 86' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sören Brandy · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 28.00 | 212.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| 0.00 |
| 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.50 |
| elo | 1457.26 | 1406.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.01 | -1.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.56 |
| league points | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 0.78 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.43 | 26.89 |
| state index | -0.87 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |