← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Jan 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Nurnberg win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Philip Heise · Dresden |
| 40' | 🟨 | Marvin Stefaniak · Dresden |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ondřej Petrák · Nurnberg |
| 46' | ⚽ | Erich Berko · Dresden |
| 48' | 🟨 | Miso Brecko · Nurnberg |
| 71' | ⚽ | Lukas Mühl · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 242.00 | 578.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.49 |
| elo | 1453.59 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 1503.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.20 | -7.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.30 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.81 |
| league points | 25.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.59 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |