← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Jan 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 29% | 3.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Lucas Höler · SV Sandhausen |
| 30' | 🟨 | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 32' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jakub Kosecki · SV Sandhausen |
| 55' | 🟨 | Oliver Fink · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 75' | ⚽ | Thomas Pledl · SV Sandhausen |
| 86' | ⚽ | Tim Knipping · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 332.00 | 210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 0.00 |
| 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 3.07 |
| elo | 1474.15 | 1479.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.69 | 36.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.88 |
| league points | 28.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 58.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.41 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -2.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |