← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Mon, Dec 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 25% | 3.92 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Kaiserslautern |
| 21' | 🟨 | Dave Bulthuis · Nurnberg |
| 38' | 🟨 | Alexander Ring · Kaiserslautern |
| 51' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jacques Zoua · Kaiserslautern |
| 78' | ⚽ | Jacques Zoua · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ondřej Petrák · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 201.00 | 201.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.47 |
| elo | 1565.08 | 1482.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.18 | -8.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.00 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.93 |
| league points | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.57 | 25.46 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |