← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Dec 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 40% | 2.46 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Rico Benatelli · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 40' | ⚽ | Clemens Schoppenhauer · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 74' | 🟨 | Toni Šunjić · VfB Stuttgart |
| 80' | ⚽ | Nejmeddin Daghfous · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 901.00 | 231.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.63 |
| elo | 1491.73 | 1516.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.93 | 23.62 |
| eye test v1 |
| venue | Flyeralarm Arena |
| -0.39 |
| -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| league points | 24.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.72 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.40 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |