← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Dec 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Bielefeld win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
| 34' | 🟨 | Marco Hartmann · Dresden |
| 39' | 🟨 | Erich Berko · Dresden |
| 41' | 🟨 | Akaki Gogia · Dresden |
| 55' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 81' | ⚽ | Pascal Testroet · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 170.00 | 536.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.83 |
| elo | 1417.33 | 1447.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.10 | -13.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.83 |
| league points | 14.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.41 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.33 | 24.75 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.41 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |