← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Zwayer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Bochum win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Marco Stiepermann · Bochum |
| 20' | ⚽ | Peniel Mlapa · Bochum |
| 28' | 🟥 | Timo Perthel · Bochum |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jan Gyamerah · Bochum |
| 55' | 🟨 | Johannes Wurtz · Bochum |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
| 72' | 🟨 | Waldemar Sobota · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 76' | ⚽ | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Nils Quaschner · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 732.00 | 747.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 3.01 |
| elo | 1348.64 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1396.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.35 | -2.63 |
| eye test v1 | -1.22 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.90 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.17 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 10.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.31 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |