← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Dec 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Frank Willenborg, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 28% | 3.52 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 16.00 | 726.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 2.38 |
| elo | 1445.69 | 1402.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.41 | -20.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 44.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| league points | 23.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 72.25 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.50 |
| skill v1 | -1.61 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.57 | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.07 | -1.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |