← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Dec 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Brand, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 52% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 20% | 4.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | — · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 40' | 🟨 | Louis Samson · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 44' | 🟨 | Cebio Soukou · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 61' | 🟨 | Osayamen Osawe · Kaiserslautern |
| 80' | 🟨 | Patrick Ziegler · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 192.00 | 558.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.93 |
| elo | 1487.75 | 1364.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.35 | -28.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.92 | 0.50 |
| league points | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 72.25 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.69 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.85 | 27.26 |
| state index | -0.09 | -1.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |