← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| Karlsruhe win | 19% | 5.19 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
| 26' | 🟨 | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
| 59' | 🟨 | Charis Mavrias · Karlsruhe |
| 61' | 🟨 | Niklas Kreuzer · Dresden |
| 75' | 🟨 | Franck Kom · Karlsruhe |
| 82' | 🟨 | Dennis Kempe · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Akaki Gogia · Dresden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 527.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.55 |
| elo | 1449.21 | 1454.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.13 | -51.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.75 | 70.75 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.81 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.83 | 24.61 |
| state index | -0.09 | -1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |