← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Schroder, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 38% | 2.58 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 74' | 🟨 | Timo Beermann · Heidenheim |
| 81' | 🟨 | Sören Brandy · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ben Halloran · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3387.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 3.41 |
| elo | 1521.88 | 1572.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.55 | -3.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.83 |
| league points | 25.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.75 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.88 |
| skill v1 | -1.59 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.53 | 25.63 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |