← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · Nurnberg |
| 66' | ⚽ | Tim Matavz · Nurnberg |
| 72' | 🟨 | Kevin Akpoguma · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 82' | 🟨 | Guido Burgstaller · Nurnberg |
| 84' | 🟨 | Kevin Möhwald · Nurnberg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Patrick Kammerbauer · Nurnberg |
| 86' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 283.00 | 191.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.10 |
| elo |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 1466.37 |
| 1427.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.20 | -16.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.79 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.50 |
| league points | 24.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.50 | 70.75 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.27 |
| skill v1 | -1.40 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |