← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Dec 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 28% | 3.46 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Kevin Akpoguma · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 30' | 🟨 | Junior Diaz · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 42' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 87' | 🟨 | Emanuel Taffertshofer · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ihlas Bebou · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 887.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Flyeralarm Arena |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.54 |
| elo | 1520.97 | 1487.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.33 | 14.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.58 |
| league points | 25.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.33 | 68.33 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.73 |
| skill v1 | -1.50 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.99 | 26.65 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |