← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Dec 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 21% | 4.61 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Stefan Kulovits · SV Sandhausen |
| 28' | ⚽ | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
| 32' | 🟨 | Denis Linsmayer · SV Sandhausen |
| 41' | 🟨 | Edgar Salli · Nurnberg |
| 42' | 🟨 | Stefan Kulovits · SV Sandhausen |
| 42' | 🟥 | Stefan Kulovits · SV Sandhausen |
| 55' | ⚽ | Philipp Klingmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 57' | 🟨 | Lucas Höler · SV Sandhausen |
| 59' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 76' | ⚽ | Daniel Łukasik · SV Sandhausen |
| 82' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 185.00 | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 2.98 |
| elo | 1572.17 | 1453.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.65 | 17.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | — |
| league points | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.33 | 61.67 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.47 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -1.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 26.15 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |