← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Dec 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Hartmann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 35% | 2.78 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 63' | 🟨 | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 82' | 🟨 | Kyoung-Rok Choi · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cenk Şahin · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julian Pollersbeck · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 717.00 | 184.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.12 |
| elo |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1328.00 |
| 1407.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.07 | 39.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.92 |
| league points | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 74.33 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 1.21 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | -1.49 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |