← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Mon, Nov 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jochen Drees, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 57% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
| Nurnberg win | 19% | 5.07 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 33' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 35' | 🟨 | Benjamin Pavard · VfB Stuttgart |
| 80' | ⚽ | Kevin Möhwald · Nurnberg |
| 84' | 🟨 | Even Hovland · Nurnberg |
| 86' | 🟨 | Emiliano Insúa · VfB Stuttgart |
| 90' | ⚽ | Takuma Asano · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 211.00 | 180.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.01 |
| elo | 1502.59 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Arena |
| 1453.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.87 | 44.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | — |
| league points | 26.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 68.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 8.28 | 10.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.46 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |