← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Nov 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gunter Perl, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Karlsruhe win | 22% | 4.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Osayamen Osawe · Kaiserslautern |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marin Šverko · Karlsruhe |
| 68' | 🟨 | Hiroki Yamada · Karlsruhe |
| 72' | 🟨 | Moritz Stoppelkamp · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 179.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.73 |
| elo | 1490.95 | 1465.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.89 | -39.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.82 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.86 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.70 | 25.85 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |