β 2. Bundesliga 2016 Β· Sun, Nov 27, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 37% | 2.66 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | β½ | Felix Kroos Β· 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 32' | π¨ | Christopher Trimmel Β· 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 45' | π¨ | Dennis Daube Β· 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 73' | π¨ | Felix Kroos Β· 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 76' | π¨ | Thomas Pledl Β· SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 149.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| 2.00 |
| 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 3.57 |
| elo | 1462.43 | 1551.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.49 | -4.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.73 |
| league points | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.50 | 70.33 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.62 |
| skill v1 | -1.77 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |