← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Nov 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 |
| Bochum win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Marco Stiepermann · Bochum |
| 15' | ⚽ | Johannes Wurtz · Bochum |
| 32' | ⚽ | Aias Aosman · Dresden |
| 40' | ⚽ | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gökhan Gül · Bochum |
| 64' | 🟨 | Johannes Wurtz · Bochum |
| 85' | ⚽ | Peniel Mlapa · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 514.00 | 726.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 2.08 |
| elo | 1515.54 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| 1390.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 54.82 | -11.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.71 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.92 | 0.73 |
| league points | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 76.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.91 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |