← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Nov 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Cortus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 50% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 21% | 4.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 76' | 🟨 | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3374.00 | 711.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 1.97 |
| elo | 1520.66 | 1409.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.03 | -41.42 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | -0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 48.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 22.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 0.50 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.50 | 26.85 |
| state index | 0.20 | -1.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |