← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 24% | 4.07 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ (og) | Adam Sušac · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 27' | 🟨 | Sascha Traut · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 37' | 🟨 | Sebastian Hertner · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 43' | ⚽ | Pascal Köpke · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 53' | 🟨 | Mirnes Pepic · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 73' | 🟨 | Pascal Köpke · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 79' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.60 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 878.00 | 543.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Flyeralarm Arena |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.55 |
| elo | 1526.52 | 1369.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.31 | -52.04 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 24.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 67.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 0.71 |
| skill v1 | -1.54 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 26.76 |
| state index | -0.08 | -1.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |