← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Nov 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Siebert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 36' | ⚽ (og) | Daniel Buballa · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 40' | 🟨 | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lasse Sobiech · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Cenk Şahin · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Adam Bodzek · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.59 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.59 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 705.00 | 264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| -1.20 |
| -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.54 |
| elo | 1419.67 | 1476.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.29 | 38.22 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 7.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.54 | 1.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.24 | 25.23 |
| state index | -1.24 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |