← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Nov 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Greuther Furth win | 27% | 3.61 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Akaki Gogia · Dresden |
| 24' | 🟨 | Damjan Đoković · Greuther Furth |
| 26' | 🟨 | Niklas Hauptmann · Dresden |
| 49' | 🟨 | Andreas Lambertz · Dresden |
| 65' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Greuther Furth |
| 67' | 🟨 | Benedikt Kirsch · Greuther Furth |
| 78' | 🟨 | Khaled Narey · Greuther Furth |
| 80' | 🟨 | Erich Berko · Dresden |
| 86' | ⚽ | Akaki Gogia · Dresden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Hartmann · Dresden |
| 90' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 508.00 | 1360.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| -2.00 |
| -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 1.34 |
| elo | 1461.49 | 1432.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 55.34 | -29.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 24.81 | 26.47 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |