← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Nov 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Deniz Aytekin, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 37% | 2.66 |
| VfB Stuttgart win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 31' | 🟨 | Dennis Daube · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 38' | 🟨 | Marcin Kamiński · VfB Stuttgart |
| 60' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 88' | 🟨 | Stephan Fürstner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 142.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 1.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.17 |
| elo | 1551.72 | 1598.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.87 | 2.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 23.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.50 | — |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 2.15 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.40 | 25.71 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |