← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Nov 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 64% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.70 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 15% | 6.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Martin Harnik · Hannover |
| 58' | 🟨 | Martin Harnik · Hannover |
| 69' | 🟨 | Nicky Adler · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 72' | 🟨 | Waldemar Anton · Hannover |
| 72' | 🟨 | Fabio Kaufmann · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 77' | ⚽ | Niclas Füllkrug · Hannover |
| 82' | 🟨 | Pascal Köpke · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 354.00 | 537.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.54 |
| elo | 1461.99 | 1420.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) |
| venue | HDI Arena |
| 6.09 |
| -55.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.97 |
| league points | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 12.98 | 14.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.06 | -1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |