← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Nov 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 25% | 3.87 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Rico Benatelli · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 45' | ⚽ | Guido Burgstaller · Nurnberg |
| 54' | ⚽ | Elia Soriano · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 55' | 🟨 | Even Hovland · Nurnberg |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | David Pisot · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 57' | 🟨 | Miso Brecko · Nurnberg |
| 71' | 🟨 | Sascha Traut · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ondřej Petrák · Nurnberg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Peter Kurzweg · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 89' | ⚽ | Even Hovland · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 170.00 | 871.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 2.47 |
| elo | 1453.79 | 1495.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 63.25 |
| -14.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.97 |
| league points | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 10.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |