← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Mon, Nov 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Guido Winkmann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 860.00 | 692.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Flyeralarm Arena |
| -1.00 |
| 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.48 |
| elo | 1517.19 | 1425.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.32 | -42.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 44.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| league points | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.04 | -1.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |