← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Nov 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Ittrich, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.16 |
| Bielefeld win | 16% | 5.94 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 44' | 🟨 | Kevin Großkreutz · VfB Stuttgart |
| 64' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 70' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 85' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 189.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Arena |
| 1.80 |
| 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.41 |
| elo | 1592.29 | 1414.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.92 | -23.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 25.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 2.08 | 0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.90 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |