← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Nov 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sören Storks, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 38% | 2.54 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Naser Aliji · Kaiserslautern |
| 71' | ⚽ | Marcel Gaus · Kaiserslautern |
| 80' | 🟨 | Phillipp Mwene · Kaiserslautern |
| 86' | 🟨 | Patrick Ziegler · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 157.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 3.50 |
| elo | 1480.41 | 1562.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.02 | 1.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.63 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.84 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |