← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Nov 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Jablonski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| Karlsruhe win | 24% | 4.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Hiroki Yamada · Karlsruhe |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
| 82' | 🟨 | Rene Vollath · Karlsruhe |
| 82' | ⚽ | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Kamberi · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3352.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 1.40 |
| -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 1.83 |
| elo | 1525.12 | 1491.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.85 | -2.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| league points | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |