← Segunda División 2016 · Sun, Jun 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Manuel Lopez Amaya, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
| Mirandes win | 22% | 4.52 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Mirandes |
| 87' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Mirandes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Pedro Martin · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 741.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| 7.20 |
| 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 1.49 |
| elo | 1460.14 | 1347.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.93 | -1.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| league points | 51.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| skill v1 | -1.62 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.97 | 27.14 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.10 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |